(Togo First) - The Togolese economy is off to a good start in 2025. The latest statistics show that industrial production is strong, services and trade are growing, and inflation is controlled. However, economic policies might need some adjustments in the coming months.
Industrial Efficiency in Motion
Togo's industrial sector is performing well. In January 2025, industrial production increased by 10.5%, following an 11.0% rise in December 2024. The slight difference does not reflect a slower growth, but rather that it needs to be sustained. The Industrial Platform of Adetidokpé or Plateforme Industrielle d’Adétidokpé (PIA) could further boost industrial activity by attracting new investments and enhancing local industrialization, especially in processing agricultural raw materials.
In market services, sales rose 3.4% in January, less than the previous month's 5.0% but still positive. Trade also increased by 1.2%, following a 4.8% rise in December. This could be a post-holiday adjustment or a signal to watch.
Inflation and Business Confidence
Inflation is stable, with an annual rate of 2.5%, within the BCEAO's target range of 1% to 3%. This follows a broader trend of price stabilization after previous surges. Inflation decreased from 7.6% in 2022 to 3.3% in 2024 and is projected to reach 2.3% in 2025. The decline in imported food prices, such as rice (-13.8%) and sugar (-14.1%), contributed to this balance. However, prices of oil (+43.3%) and milk (+26.8%) keep rising, which could impact purchasing power.
With an index of 100.7, the business climate remains stable, thus economic players are neither overly optimistic nor worried. Business leaders remain confident, reflecting a favorable economic environment where the private sector continues to invest and hire despite economic challenges.
A Promising Economic Outlook
The International Monetary Fund (IMF) forecasts a 5.3% economic growth for 2025, slightly lower than the 5.6% in 2023 but still solid. This growth should be supported by public infrastructure investments, a thriving industrial sector, and tighter fiscal policies. However, prudent economic management is necessary to balance growth, inflation control, and public debt management.
Fiacre E. Kakpo